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		<title>Economists say risk of recession rises if oil cost hits a key benchmark as Iran war continues</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/economists-say-risk-of-recession-rises-if-oil-cost-hits-a-key-benchmark-as-iran-war-continues/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2026 17:40:47 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/?p=14018</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Crude oil prices would need to jump to roughly $138 a barrel amid the war on Iran and stay there for at least a few weeks to put the US at a serious risk of a recession, according to a new survey of economists released Thursday. Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/economists-say-risk-of-recession-rises-if-oil-cost-hits-a-key-benchmark-as-iran-war-continues/">Economists say risk of recession rises if oil cost hits a key benchmark as Iran war continues</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Crude oil prices would need to jump to roughly $138 a barrel amid the war on Iran and stay there for at least a few weeks to put the US at a serious risk of a recession, according to a new survey of economists released Thursday.</p>
<p>Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime route for 20% of the world’s oil supply, has caused the largest-ever energy supply disruption – sending Brent crude to $105 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate up to $96 as of Thursday.</p>
<p>As long as the supply shock is temporary, it likely won’t hurt growth or unemployment – but it will probably boost inflation even higher, according to economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal this week.</p>
<p>Crude oil prices would need to jump to roughly $138 a barrel to put the US at a serious risk of  a recession, according to a new survey of economists. <span class="credit">Guerin Charles/ABACA/Shutterstock</span></p>
<p>Economists see a 32% chance of a recession in the next 12 months – up from 27% in January, according to the survey, which collected answers from 50 economists at Wall Street banks, universities and consulting firms.</p>
<p>As for how high crude oil would need to climb to push odds of a recession above 50%, economists’ answers averaged around $138 a barrel – though their responses ranged from $90 to $200, per the survey.</p>
<p>Oil prices would need to remain at that elevated level for about 14 weeks to raise recession odds above 50%, according to the experts. That’s the average length of time they cited, with the economists giving a wide range of answers — from four to 55 weeks.</p>
<p>Uncertainty about how long the Middle East conflict could last has muddled such projections, with critics saying the Trump administration has given mixed messages on the timeline — prompting pushback from the White House.</p>
<p>Robert Fry, chief economist at Robert Fry Economics, currently sees a 40% chance of a recession, with oil at $125 for eight weeks as the tipping point.</p>
<p>“My forecast is contingent on the assumption that the Strait of Hormuz will be fully open to tanker traffic by mid-April,” he told the Journal. </p>
<p>“If it isn’t, oil prices will go much higher, and I will put a recession in my forecast.”</p>
<p>Brent crude soared to $105 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate is up to $96 as of Thursday. <span class="credit">Christopher Sadowski for NY Post</span></p>
<p>Economists forecast gross domestic product adjusted for inflation will grow 2.1% in the fourth quarter and the unemployment rate will hit 4.5% in December – roughly the same as their estimates earlier this year.</p>
<p>But their outlook on inflation has soured as they expect the Consumer Price Index to hit 2.9% in December – after earlier this year forecasting a more modest 2.6%.</p>
<p>National average gasoline prices have skyrocketed to $3.88 a gallon amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis, according to AAA, almost certainly playing a role in inflation this year – but economists said they expect price pressures to be broader than just higher prices at the pump.</p>
<p>They expect the core reading of the personal consumption expenditures price index, which is the Fed’s preferred inflation figure and excludes volatile food and energy prices, to rise 2.8% in the fourth quarter compared to the previous year. That’s a jump from forecasts of 2.6% earlier this year.</p>
<p>Economists expect price pressures to be broader than just higher prices at gas pumps. <span class="credit">AFP via Getty Images</span></p>
<p>Economists said they expect oil to settle at $86.70 a barrel by the end of June, and finish the year at roughly $73.54.</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday held interest rates steady in the 3.5% to 3.75% range, opting to stay in wait-and-see mode amid the war in Iran and conflicting economic signals.</p>
<p>Most policymakers kept their predictions for the year the same, with the closely-watched “dot plot” showing one rate cut this year and another in 2027.</p>
<p>Like the economists in the survey, the Fed’s forecasts for GDP and unemployment were also little changed, and they now expect higher inflation.</p>
<p>National average gasoline prices have skyrocketed to $3.88 a gallon amid the Strait of Hormuz crisis. <span class="credit">MediaPunch / BACKGRID</span></p>
<p>Fed Chairman Jerome Powell – whose term ends in May – nodded to heightened uncertainty around the war in Iran, joking that if there was ever a meeting to skip economic projections, “this would be a good one, because we just don’t know.”</p>
<p>But he also nodded to the economy’s relative steadfastness in the face of severe shocks, saying it has done “pretty well through a lot of significant challenges” – adding that slow job growth is partially due to an immigration crackdown, while tariffs and the pandemic have hit inflation.</p>
<p>Economists in the Journal’s survey also acknowledged the economy’s ability to withstand recent shocks – but noted that there is no guarantee this resilience will continue.</p>
<p>“Given the ongoing war in the Middle East, surging oil prices, high tariffs, AI and the severe constraints on immigration, it is worthwhile noting how resilient the US economy has been so far,” Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist at the Economic Outlook Group, told the Journal. </p>
<p>“But we must not take this resilience for granted.”</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/economists-say-risk-of-recession-rises-if-oil-cost-hits-a-key-benchmark-as-iran-war-continues/">Economists say risk of recession rises if oil cost hits a key benchmark as Iran war continues</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>How the Susan Rice snafu cost Netflix on home stretch of Warner Bros. Discovery deal</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/how-the-susan-rice-snafu-cost-netflix-on-home-stretch-of-warner-bros-discovery-deal/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2026 10:10:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/?p=13562</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>There were several reasons why streaming giant Netflix pulled out of the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery. You might want to add Susan Rice to the list. The former Obama national security adviser, UN ambassador, partisan Democrat and currently a Netflix board member made a splash last week, and not in a good way. Just as the Trump administration’s Department [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/how-the-susan-rice-snafu-cost-netflix-on-home-stretch-of-warner-bros-discovery-deal/">How the Susan Rice snafu cost Netflix on home stretch of Warner Bros. Discovery deal</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There were several reasons why streaming giant Netflix pulled out of the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery. You might want to add Susan Rice to the list.</p>
<p>The former Obama national security adviser, UN ambassador, partisan Democrat and currently a Netflix board member made a splash last week, and not in a good way.</p>
<p>Just as the Trump administration’s Department of Justice was weighing the antitrust merits of the deal, former Obama national security adviser, UN ambassador, partisan Democrat and currently Netflix board member Rice appeared last week on a podcast hosted by Preet Bharara, former US Attorney for the Southern District of New York, a longtime Democrat and also a frequent critic of the president.</p>
<p>Netflix board member Susan Rice, Obama’s former national security adviser, made a splash last week, and not in a good way. <span class="credit">Gage Skidmore/ZUMA Press Wire / SplashNews.com</span></p>
<p>Rice warned that corporations that “take a knee” when dealing with to the Trump administration demands on various matters should expect to be “held accountable” if Dems return to power.</p>
<p>“If these corporations think that the Democrats, when they come back in power, . . . are going to, you know, play by the old rules, and, you know, . . . say, ‘Oh, never mind. We’ll forgive you for all the people you fired, all the policies and principles you’ve violated, all, you know, the laws you’ve skirted.’ I think they’ve got another thing coming,” Rice added.</p>
<h2 class="inline-module__heading subsection-heading subsection-heading--single-line ">
			More From							<span class="subsection-heading__sub">Charles Gasparino</span><br />
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<p>Lets just say when the president heard about Rice’s remarks, Trump wasn’t too happy. He responded on Truth Social, “Netflix should fire racist, Trump Deranged Susan Rice, IMMEDIATELY, or pay the consequences.” he posted on his Truth Social account on Saturday.</p>
<p>The timing was particularly bad because the DOJ was cranking up its inquiry into Netflix’s then nearly completed, $73 billion purchase of WBD’s studio and streamer, including whether its purchase of HBO Max layered on its own streaming service constituted a monopoly that could hurt consumers.</p>
<p>Netflix CEO Ted Sarandos launched a charm offensive with his team of lobbyists that the streaming giant wasn’t looking to price gouge. Above, Sarandos leaving the White House on Thursday. <span class="credit">Getty Images</span></p>
<p>After Sarandos’ meeting at the White House, Netflix pulled out of the bidding. <span class="credit">REUTERS</span></p>
<p>The regulatory heat had become so great that Netflix CEO Ted Sarandos launched a charm offensive with his team of lobbyists that the streaming giant wasn’t looking to price gouge. Sarandos himself showed up at the White House to press the flesh and meet with Trump AG Pam Bondi and members of the DOJ’s antitrust staff amid the backdrop of Rice’s threat.</p>
<p> A few hours after the meeting ended later, Netflix pulled itself out of the bidding war, handing the company to Paramount Skydance, which recently increased its bid to $80.5 billion. In announcing the move, Sarandos citied the ever growing price of the deal.</p>
<h3 class="inline-module__title headline headline--combo-sm-md">
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<p>My sources say the DOJ indicated to Sarandos it had antitrust concerns about the WBD deal despite his argument that competition from YouTube negates them.</p>
<p>But Rice’s remarks didn’t make Sarandos’ job any easier, I am told by people close to the administration. One senior Trump regulatory official even quipped with a laugh that Sarandos should have “let Susan Rice tag along” to his DOJ sitdown.</p>
<p>A Netflix rep said Sarandos’ meeting was unrelated to Rice and set up two weeks ago. Rice could not be reached for comment</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/how-the-susan-rice-snafu-cost-netflix-on-home-stretch-of-warner-bros-discovery-deal/">How the Susan Rice snafu cost Netflix on home stretch of Warner Bros. Discovery deal</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>Exclusive &#124; Facebook most cited in online complaints for hosting scam ads that cost users billions: watchdog</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/exclusive-facebook-most-cited-in-online-complaints-for-hosting-scam-ads-that-cost-users-billions-watchdog/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2025 13:10:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/?p=11532</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Facebook now accounts for the vast majority of scams on social media, according to an explosive new study – and critics claim it’s because Mark Zuckerberg’s tech giant is more focused on making money than protecting customers, The Post has learned. Last year, Meta forecast it would earn $16 billion – or 10% of its [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/exclusive-facebook-most-cited-in-online-complaints-for-hosting-scam-ads-that-cost-users-billions-watchdog/">Exclusive | Facebook most cited in online complaints for hosting scam ads that cost users billions: watchdog</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Facebook now accounts for the vast majority of scams on social media, according to an explosive new study – and critics claim it’s because Mark Zuckerberg’s tech giant is more focused on making money than protecting customers, The Post has learned.</p>
<p>Last year, Meta forecast it would earn $16 billion – or 10% of its revenue – by running scam ads, according to bombshell documents obtained last month by Reuters. Critics say the eye-popping number confirms that fraud has effectively become a core part of the company’s business — especially at Facebook, which boasts more than 3 billon monthly active users.</p>
<p>The documents revealed Meta bans accounts only if its systems flag an at least 95% chance that they are committing fraud — an absurdly high bar that invites fraudsters with minimal policing, critics say. What’s more, the more suspicious the ad buyer, the higher the fees for posting ads — a supposed deterrent to bad behavior which instead amounts to “pay to play,” experts say.</p>
<p>Lawmakers have called on Mark Zuckerberg to face a federal investigation over the scam ads. <span class="credit">AP</span></p>
<p>Erin West, a former California prosecutor who has founded a nonprofit to combat online scams, said the documents prove Meta is turning a blind eye to the fraud because it is a “major moneymaker” for the company.</p>
<p>“To know that Facebook is aware of this and they tolerate it – and in fact, they even command additional fees from the worst offenders – is egregious,” West said. “The practice itself is outrageous, jaw-dropping, unacceptable, but when you think about it story by story, it really becomes horrific.”</p>
<p>SafelyHQ, a fraud reporting platform, has collected more than 50,000 verified complaints from online scam victims. When the reports mention where the victims got scammed, Facebook is cited a whopping 85% of the time, according to data exclusively obtained by The Post.</p>
<p>Other platforms, including Meta-owned Instagram, Google, TikTok, and X account for the remaining 15%.</p>
<p>The reports are only a tiny fraction of the big picture, according to Patrick Quade, the CEO and founder of SafelyHQ. The Federal Trade Commission says most fraud goes unreported, and Quade says just 12% of scam victims who submit reports identify a host site.</p>
<p>Facebook is cited for hosting scam ads more than any other platform. <span class="credit">SafelyHQ</span></p>
<p>“For 50,000 people to find us and independently document their losses implies a victim count in the tens of millions,” Quade told The Post. “This isn’t ‘cherry-picking’—it is the overflow of a systemic failure that Meta’s own documents confirm.”</p>
<p>Brian Kuhn, a 68-year-old California resident, says he was scammed out of $70 while trying to buy classic vinyl records by James Brown, The Dead Kennedys, Bob Dylan and the Buzzcocks from a “going out of business” sale on Facebook. The sale turned out to be a fake, and the records never arrived.</p>
<p>“It felt a little creepy that they seemed to know my taste so well,” Kuhn told The Post. “I somehow blame myself equally, but that doesn’t excuse Facebook from allowing the thieves to prey on people.”</p>
<p>Meta’s scam ad epidemic has drawn attention on Capitol Hill, where US Sens. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) and Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) have demanded a federal investigation.</p>
<p>“Perversely, Meta reportedly charges higher rates for ads that it suspects might be fraudulent — in effect, imposing a scam tax that provides an additional lucrative revenue stream that it knows is tied to fraud,” the senators wrote in Nov. 22 letter.</p>
<p>Meta spokesman Andy Stone said the leaked documents “present a selective view that distorts Meta’s approach to fraud and scams.”</p>
<p>Just a fraction of people who report scams identify where they saw the ad in the first place. <span class="credit">SafelyHQ</span></p>
<p>Stone said Meta’s practice of charging suspected scammers more in its ad auctions have proven effective, with internal tests showing a decline in scam reports as well as a slight decline in ad revenue. The company also recently said it has expanded its advertiser verification efforts.</p>
<p>“We aggressively fight fraud and scams because people on our platforms don’t want this content, legitimate advertisers don’t want it and we don’t want it either,” Stone said in a statement. “Scammers are persistent criminals whose efforts, often driven by ruthless cross-border criminal networks that operate on a global scale, continue to grow in sophistication and complexity.”</p>
<p>Over the last 15 months, the company said reports about scam ads have declined by more than 50%. Meta has removed more than 134 million scam ads this year alone.</p>
<p>The internal documents obtained by Reuters showed Meta researchers have been warning for years about the extent of the company’s ad fraud problem, and how it seemed to be trailing rivals in cracking down.</p>
<p>One May 2025 presentation estimated that Meta was involved in one-third of all successful scams in the US, the report said. In a separate April 2025 review, the company concluded it was “easier to advertise scams on Meta platforms than Google.”</p>
<p>SafelyHQ’s data shows scams are rife all over the country. <span class="credit">SafelyHQ</span></p>
<p>In October, a Delaware-based Facebook user named Betty got scammed by a Facebook ad for Laura Geller cosmetics. She said she was suspicious because the goods were cheap and required PayPal, but decided to buy anyway because the ad featured Laura Geller’s logo and branding. </p>
<p>Instead, she got cheap knockoff products from a Chinese label she didn’t recognize.</p>
<p>“Believe me, that’s all you see are ads,” Betty said. “You like one thing or look at something or you make a comment about one thing and then these ads appear. Obviously, some are fake and you can tell that. Some are really good – they’re fake, but you really can’t tell at first.”</p>
<p>In total, SafelyHQ has compiled more than 5,000 verified reports of scam ads specifically on Facebook and Instagram.</p>
<p>A teenager poses for a photo while holding a smartphone in front of a Facebook logo in this illustration taken September 11, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration <span class="credit">REUTERS</span></p>
<p>“The ‘fox’ isn’t even guarding the hen house – it’s charging a toll for other foxes to walk right in,” Quade said. “This is an epidemic. Meta’s system is algorithmically trapping regular citizens in e-commerce scams, while their policy protects $16 billion in scam revenue. The time for voluntary oversight is over.”</p>
<p>Online watchdog Consumer Reports has also called on the FTC and state attorneys general to clamp down.</p>
<p>The “elephant in the room” is Meta’s reliance on protections offered by Section 230, which protects social media sites from being held liable for third-party content, according to Justin Brookman, Consumer Report’s director of tech policy.</p>
<p>Policy tweaks, such as adding an exception for Section 230 for paid advertising, would force Meta to take action, he argued.</p>
<p>Meta allows suspected scammers to buy ads at a higher rate. <span class="credit">AFP via Getty Images</span></p>
<p>“It would certainly realign the incentives to make Meta care more about all the fraud and scams and illegal activity on their platforms,” said Brookman.</p>
<p>The real fix, according to Quade, won’t come until regulators begin treating high-volume ad gatekeepers like Meta as if they are financial institutions rather than social media companies.</p>
<p>That could include strict “know your consumer” or “know your business” rules requiring Meta to properly vet its advertising partners at its own cost.</p>
<p>“You can’t let the company profiting from the crime be the one in charge of stopping it,” Quade said.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/exclusive-facebook-most-cited-in-online-complaints-for-hosting-scam-ads-that-cost-users-billions-watchdog/">Exclusive | Facebook most cited in online complaints for hosting scam ads that cost users billions: watchdog</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>Mikie Sherrill isn&#8217;t the first politician to face insider trading charges — but it may cost her the NJ election</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/mikie-sherrill-isnt-the-first-politician-to-face-insider-trading-charges-but-it-may-cost-her-the-nj-election/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Oct 2025 03:39:49 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>Mikie Sherrill, once comfortably ahead in the New Jersey governor’s race, has been getting plenty of attention over her stock trading lately, and not in a good way. Her fellow lawmakers should take note if they also have aspirations for higher office.  The Democratic New Jersey congresswoman seemed like a shoo-in to succeed Phil Murphy [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/mikie-sherrill-isnt-the-first-politician-to-face-insider-trading-charges-but-it-may-cost-her-the-nj-election/">Mikie Sherrill isn&#8217;t the first politician to face insider trading charges — but it may cost her the NJ election</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mikie Sherrill, once comfortably ahead in the New Jersey governor’s race, has been getting plenty of attention over her stock trading lately, and not in a good way. Her fellow lawmakers should take note if they also have aspirations for higher office. </p>
<p>The Democratic New Jersey congresswoman seemed like a shoo-in to succeed Phil Murphy as her state’s governor, an office that trended blue in recent years. Yet she is now neck-and-neck with Republican Jack Ciattarelli, a successful businessman before entering politics. Her problem: disclosures that she spent some considerable time day-trading stocks while she was in office, possibly — if her critics are right — profiting off nonpublic information to make profitable trades. </p>
<p>Rising public disgust over her alleged insider trading could cost her the Nov. 4 election. </p>
<p>Yes, to hear critics tell it, Sherrill’s acumen at timing the market — buying and selling stock armed with nonpublic information during the COVID pandemic a few years back — puts her in league with some of the best insider traders in the business. </p>
<p>Ivan Boesky watch out! </p>
<p>The truth is that Sherrill’s stock trades might look bad, but they’re not illegal or unusual. In fact, they are in line with other lawmakers who have gotten caught in this ­periodic scandal, which amounts to allegations that they used their access to nonpublic information to profit on stock trades. </p>
<h2 class="inline-module__heading subsection-heading subsection-heading--single-line ">
			More From							<span class="subsection-heading__sub">Charles Gasparino</span><br />
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<p>Based on my reporting, much of that information wasn’t even nonpublic, which is why no one ever went to jail over this stuff or has even been charged despite all the hoopla. Insider trading is notoriously difficult to prove because information is so fungible; warnings about the spread of COVID were all over the internet while Congress was being “privately” briefed in the matter. </p>
<p>New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial nominee Mikie Sherrill tours the USS Battleship New Jersey as part of a campaign stop on October 11, 2025 in Camden, New Jersey. <span class="credit">Getty Images</span></p>
<h3 class="inline-module__title headline headline--combo-sm-md">
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A ‘something’ burger? </h2>
<p>Which makes this “scandal” seem like a nothing burger for Sherrill, right? </p>
<p>Not quite. On the campaign trail, Sherrill has been oddly dissembling when asked for the details of the timing of her trades — particularly when the markets were freaking out over COVID back in 2020 — other than to point out she no longer trades stocks after being called out a few years ago. </p>
<p>That’s why I did a deeper dive in the controversy by reviewing the timing of her trades, disclosed through various publicly available sources such as a website that tracks this stuff, known as “Quiver Quantitative.” </p>
<p>I came across something odd: In April 2020, the New Jersey Globe ran a story stating that Sherrill and her husband “decided to convert to ETFs last December and instructed a financial adviser to begin the process during the first week of January, before receiving any briefings on COVID-19.” </p>
<p>Odd, because her congressional disclosures show she bought lots of stocks in January 2020, the same month President Trump first downplayed the severity of the virus. Unless I’m missing something, she really didn’t start unloading shares until Feb. 20, 2020, when “Trump 1” began warning about COVID and the stock markets began crashing. </p>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Significant trading </h2>
<p>Another oddity; Sherrill was hardly a piker at trading stocks in 2019 and 2020 when she first got to Congress. True, she’s no Nancy Pelosi; Sherrill’s trading activity reached a high of around $2.4 million in 2020, dwarfed by the $39 million in trades for the former House speaker last year. </p>
<p>Republican candidate for governor of New Jersey Jack Ciattarelli (L) and Democrat Mikie Sherrill (R) during a debate at New Brunswick Performing Arts Center on October 08, 2025. <span class="credit">Leonardo Munoz</span></p>
<p>But what she did was not nothing. So the question remains: Why even go there when you have so much else on your plate? </p>
<p>Sherrill and her husband, Jason Hedberg, are hardly the fattest cats in government, though they are comfortably well off. Disclosure forms show they’re worth as much as $14 million. They own homes and property. </p>
<p>Hedberg, whom she met at the Naval Academy, is a Wall Street banker who pulls in an estimated $3 million a year. (It was his late filing of stock trades that led to a small disclosure fine for Sherrill back in 2021. Through a rep he declined to comment.) </p>
<p>Sherrill herself is no slouch; she was a helicopter pilot in the Navy, went on to become an accomplished private attorney at the firm Kirkland &amp; Ellis before working as an assistant US attorney and then entering Congress. </p>
<p>A spokesman for Sherrill’s campaign says “Mikie does not own or trade individual stocks, and has gone ‘above and beyond’ releasing the exact values of her finances to the dollar and while New Jerseyans have zero insight into Jack Ciattarelli’s net worth.” </p>
<p>Again, she certainly isn’t the worst — or the first — lawmaker to be caught flat-footed trying to explain weirdness involving stock trading and whether they used the perks of their office to make money. </p>
<p>Yet she does provide a cautionary tale; if you enter Congress, try focusing your time on working for the people back home and not being a day-trader. Put your dough in a simple mutual fund like the one that tracks the S&amp;P 500. It’s been up around 168% since 2019, and it won’t cost you an election.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/mikie-sherrill-isnt-the-first-politician-to-face-insider-trading-charges-but-it-may-cost-her-the-nj-election/">Mikie Sherrill isn&#8217;t the first politician to face insider trading charges — but it may cost her the NJ election</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>Costco (COST) Q3 2025 earnings</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/costco-cost-q3-2025-earnings/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 30 May 2025 04:07:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The sign on the side of a Costco is seen in Hawthorne, California, on April 4, 2025. Jay L Clendenin &#124; Getty Images Shares of Costco fell slightly on Thursday, despite the warehouse club posting quarterly earnings and revenue that topped estimates and reporting 8% year-over-year sales gains. Unlike many retailers, Costco does not provide [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/costco-cost-q3-2025-earnings/">Costco (COST) Q3 2025 earnings</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="HighlightShare-hidden" style="top:0;left:0"/></p>
<p>The sign on the side of a Costco is seen in Hawthorne, California, on April 4, 2025.</p>
<p>Jay L Clendenin | Getty Images</p>
<p>Shares of <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1">Costco<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> fell slightly on Thursday, despite the warehouse club posting quarterly earnings and revenue that topped estimates and reporting 8% year-over-year sales gains.</p>
<p>Unlike many retailers, Costco does not provide an annual outlook. Yet the company&#8217;s leaders spoke on an earnings call about the challenges and higher costs tariffs have meant for its business</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s how the warehouse club retailer did in its fiscal third quarter compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Earnings per share:</strong> $4.28 vs. $4.24 expected</li>
<li><strong>Revenue:</strong> $63.21 billion vs. $63.19 billion expected</li>
</ul>
<p>Costco&#8217;s net income for the three-month period that ended May 11 rose to $1.90 billion, or $4.28 per share, compared with $1.68 billion, or $3.78 a year earlier. Revenue rose from $58.52 billion in the year-ago period.</p>
<p>Comparable sales, an industry metric that takes out one-time factors such as store openings and closures, rose 8%, and e-commerce sales rose nearly 16% compared with the year-ago period, excluding gas and the impact of changes to foreign exchange.</p>
<p>As tariffs raise economic worries, and potentially consumer prices, Costco could stand to benefit. Unpredictable tariff policy could help drive more customers to the warehouse club, which is known for its competitive prices and bulk discounts, and encourage them to renew membership. Its clubs also sell discounted gas and groceries, which are steadier traffic drivers even when consumers pull back on spending. And compared with some other retailers, Costco has a stronger hand in price negotiations with suppliers because of its large size.</p>
<p>About a third of Costco&#8217;s U.S. sales are goods brought in from other countries, CFO Gary Millerchip said on the company&#8217;s earnings call. He said items imported from China represent about 8% of total US sales.</p>
<p>Some retailers have already warned that higher tariffs will mean higher prices. <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-2">Best Buy<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> CEO Corie Barry said Thursday that the retailer had already raised prices on some consumer electronics because of tariffs. Cosmetics company <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-4">E.l.f. Beauty<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> announced a price increase on its makeup last week. And <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-6">Walmart<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> CFO John David Rainey warned earlier this month that higher prices were coming to the discounter&#8217;s stores and website in late May or June.</p>
<p>On the company&#8217;s earnings call, CEO Ron Vachris said Costco has looked for ways to reduce tariff costs while keeping prices low. He said its buyers rushed orders to get them to the U.S. ahead of tariffs. It has rerouted goods from countries with higher tariffs to non-U.S. markets. And it&#8217;s sourced more items for its private brand, Kirkland Signature, in the countries or regions where the items are sold.</p>
<p>Even with tariffs, he said, Costco has lowered the price of some items including eggs, butter and olive oil. He said it&#8217;s also trying to lean into reasons that customers might sign up for or renew membership, such as extending the hours of its gas stations that sell discounted fuel.</p>
<p>Compared to other retailers, Costco sells a slimmer variety of items like having fewer different brands of peanut butter or diapers. Millerchip said that limited approach means Costco is a bigger buyer and can work more closely with suppliers on pricing. He said Costco can also rotate to other items, if needed.</p>
<p>In some cases, Costco has absorbed tariff-related cost differences and in other cases, it has raised prices, Millerchip said. For example, the retailer decided to hold the line on the price of pineapples and bananas from Central and South America because they are staple items for shoppers, he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;We felt it was important to to really eliminate the impact there for the member by working with our suppliers and by us finding efficiencies and accepting that there may be a margin impact,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>On the other hand, he said, it decided to increase the price for flowers from Central and South America since those are a more discretionary items.</p>
<p>As of Thursday&#8217;s close, shares of Costco are up about 10% so far this year. That has outpaced the S&#038;P 500&#8217;s less than 1% gains during the same period.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/costco-cost-q3-2025-earnings/">Costco (COST) Q3 2025 earnings</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>How much a 100% &#8216;Made in the USA&#8217; vehicle might cost</title>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 18 May 2025 17:36:06 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>A 2025 Ford Expedition with bronze trim at the automaker&#8217;s Kentucky Truck Plant, April 30, 2025. Michael Wayland &#124; CNBC LOUISVILLE, Ky. — A white 2025 Ford Expedition SUV with bronze exterior trim rolled off the assembly line at Ford Motor&#8216;s Kentucky Truck Plant. It was assembled — from its frame to completion — by [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/how-much-a-100-made-in-the-usa-vehicle-might-cost/">How much a 100% &#8216;Made in the USA&#8217; vehicle might cost</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="HighlightShare-hidden" style="top:0;left:0"/></p>
<p>A 2025 Ford Expedition with bronze trim at the automaker&#8217;s Kentucky Truck Plant, April 30, 2025.</p>
<p>Michael Wayland | CNBC</p>
<p>LOUISVILLE, Ky. — A white 2025 Ford Expedition SUV with bronze exterior trim rolled off the assembly line at <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1">Ford Motor<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span>&#8216;s Kentucky Truck Plant. It was assembled — from its frame to completion — by American workers at the factory. But it&#8217;s far from being completely &#8220;Made in the USA.&#8221;</p>
<p>A majority of its main parts — at least 58% as stated on a window sticker — were made outside the country, including 22% from Mexico. That includes its Ford-engineered, 3.5-liter twin-turbocharged V-6 Ecoboost engine, the heart of the vehicle.</p>
<p>The popular large SUV is a prime example of how complicated the global automotive supply chain is, and underscores the reality that even vehicles rolling off U.S. assembly lines from quintessentially American companies such as Ford can rely heavily on nondomestic content.</p>
<p>The massive Kentucky assembly plant, which has more than 9,000 people building the Expedition, F-Series pickup trucks and Lincoln Navigator SUV, is exactly the kind of facility President Donald Trump is pressuring automakers to build in the U.S. through his use of aggressive tariffs.</p>
<p>After Trump put 25% tariffs on imported vehicles and many automotive parts, automakers started scrambling to tout U.S. investments and localize supply chains as much as possible. But while the country would benefit from jobs and economic output if all auto parts were sourced and manufactured in the U.S., experts say it&#8217;s just not feasible.</p>
<p>&#8220;Some parts that have been offshored will still be cheaper to manufacture in those locations rather than the USA at scale even with some of the imposed tariffs,&#8221; said Martin French, a longtime supplier executive and partner at Berylls Strategy Advisors USA.</p>
<p>Processing and production plants for things such as steel, aluminum and semiconductor chips, especially older ones used for autos, as well as raw materials such as platinum and palladium, aren&#8217;t prevalent enough in the U.S. without establishing new plants or mines. Those are processes experts say would take a decade or more to create at scale.</p>
<p>On top of that, the increased costs of a 100% U.S.-made vehicle could price many consumers out of the new vehicle market. That could in turn lead to less demand and likely lower production.</p>
<p>&#8220;We can move everything to the U.S., but if every Ford is $50,000, we&#8217;re not going to win as a company,&#8221; Ford CEO Jim Farley said last week on CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Squawk Box.&#8221; &#8220;That&#8217;s a balancing act that every [automaker] will have to do, even the most American company.&#8221;</p>
<p><span class="InlineVideo-videoButton"/><span/></p>
<p>Farley said 15% to 20% of commoditized vehicle parts are difficult, if not impossible, to source currently in the U.S. That includes things such as small fasteners, labor-intensive wiring harnesses and almost $5,000 in semiconductors per vehicle, which are currently sourced largely from Asia.</p>
<p>S&#038;P Global Mobility reports there are on average 20,000 parts in a vehicle when it&#8217;s torn down to its nuts and bolts. Parts may originate in anywhere from 50 to 120 countries.</p>
<p>For example, the Ford F-150, which shares a platform and some parts with the Expedition, is exclusively assembled in the U.S. but has roughly 2,700 main billable parts, which exclude many small pieces, according to Caresoft, an engineering benchmarking and consulting firm.</p>
<p>The Trump administration could ease higher prices for an American-made vehicle by offering tax breaks or consumer incentives, much like the electric vehicle credit of up to $7,500 that Trump previously promised to eliminate.</p>
<p>But the costs of a 100% American-made vehicle are far greater and more complex than they might seem at first blush. It&#8217;s even hard to track what comes from the U.S., as automakers are required to report a combined percentage of Canadian and U.S. content in a vehicle, not just U.S. content.</p>
<p>The material costs alone, excluding manufacturing investments, would add thousands of dollars to a vehicle&#8217;s price point, which would wipe out profits for automakers and force price increases for consumers, several automotive analysts and executives told CNBC.</p>
<p>The people, who were given anonymity so they could speak freely, estimated it would add thousands of dollars with each step you took to get closer to 100% U.S. and Canadian parts.</p>
<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle">100% U.S.-made vehicle</h2>
<p>Mark Wakefield, a partner and global automotive market lead at consulting firm AlixPartners, said nothing&#8217;s impossible with time, but the investment needed for U.S. and Canadian sourcing and added costs would increase exponentially the closer a company came to a 100% &#8220;Made in the USA&#8221; vehicle.</p>
<p>&#8220;The cost gets quantumly more &#8230; the closer you get to 100%,&#8221; Wakefield said. &#8220;Getting above 90% gets expensive, and getting about 95% would get really expensive, and you just start getting into things that you&#8217;d have to take a long time [to do].&#8221;</p>
<p>A worker at Ford&#8217;s Kentucky Truck Plant on April 30, 2025.</p>
<p>Michael Wayland | CNBC</p>
<p>To get that last 5% to 10%, if, or when, you could, Wakefield said, would start &#8220;getting really expensive&#8221; and likely take a decade or more to set up raw material sourcing and reshore production of some parts.</p>
<p>&#8220;I don&#8217;t think you could do it more than about 95% on average, at any cost, at the moment, just because you need to build a lot of stuff that&#8217;s going to take a long time,&#8221; he said. &#8220;The processing and the raw material stuff, it takes a really long time, because those are multibillion-dollar facilities that process it.&#8221;</p>
<p>Two executives at auto suppliers told CNBC it would be &#8220;unrealistic,&#8221; if not impossible, for a company to profitably build a 100% U.S.-made vehicle at this time. Another executive at an automaker estimated the average cost increase for an American-assembled U.S. full-size pickup would jump at least $7,000 to source as many components as currently possible from the U.S. and Canada.</p>
<p>One expert, generalizing the costs, said it could cost $5,000 more to get a vehicle that&#8217;s currently under 70% U.S./Canadian parts to 75% or 80%; another $5,000 to $10,000 to hit 90%; and thousands more to a higher percentage than that.</p>
<p>The average transaction price of a new vehicle in the U.S. is currently around $48,000, according to Cox Automotive. Say that vehicle is made of $30,000 in materials and parts. Adding the above costs, it would come out to roughly $10,000 to $20,000 more for companies.</p>
<p>Cars.com reports the U.S. is by far the most expensive country to manufacture a vehicle in. The average new-car price of a U.S.-assembled vehicle is more than $53,200, according to its data. That compares with roughly $40,700 in Mexico, $46,148 in Canada and roughly $51,000 in China.</p>
<p>Excluding raw materials, someone could theoretically start a new car company — let&#8217;s call it U.S. Motors — from scratch. U.S. Motors could spend billions of dollars to build new factories and establish an exclusively American supply chain, but the vehicle it would produce would likely be low-volume and excessively expensive, experts say.</p>
<p><span class="InlineVideo-videoButton"/><span/></p>
<p>Think of <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-12">Ferrari<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span>: Every car from the iconic automaker comes from Italy, with as many components as possible sourced from the company&#8217;s homeland.</p>
<p>But even Ferrari&#8217;s multimillion-dollar sports cars have parts or raw materials for things such as airbags, brakes, tires, batteries and more that come from non-Italian suppliers and facilities.</p>
<p>&#8220;If you did it at really low volume and you&#8217;re extremely innovative and different with the vehicle, you could make $300,000-$400,000 vehicles that are all-American,&#8221; Wakefield said. &#8220;To do it at scale, it would be 10-15 [years] and $100 billion to do that.&#8221;</p>
<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle">What&#8217;s more realistic?</h2>
<p>Getting vehicles to 75% U.S. and Canadian parts and final assembly in the U.S. is a far more achievable target that &#8220;doesn&#8217;t really force you to do uneconomic things,&#8221; Wakefield said, noting that a few vehicles meet that standard today.</p>
<p>But even reaching that threshold on a larger scale would likely take billions of dollars in new investments from automakers and suppliers to localize production. Some automakers could make the move more easily, while others would require massive shifts in sourcing and production.</p>
<p>Vehicles that meet the 75% U.S./Canada parts standard for the 2025 model year include the Kia EV6, two versions of the <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-13">Tesla<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> Model 3 and the Honda Ridgeline AWD Trail Sport, according to the latest vehicle content data required by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Nearly 20 others are at 70% or higher, while some vehicles still need to be added to the data.</p>
<p>That compares with 2007 model-year NHTSA data, where the top 16 vehicles — all from GM and Ford — had 90% or more U.S. and Canadian content. Ford&#8217;s Expedition at that time was among the highest at 95%, but that was before the expanded globalization of the auto industry supply chain after the Great Recession — and before several major technological advances in cars made new parts and materials more important.</p>
<p>For decades, there has been a trend for less U.S./Canadian content because of the globalization of supply chains and the increase in the use of Mexico as a source of parts and components, according to American University&#8217;s Kogod School of Business.</p>
<p>The top 10 vehicles with the most U.S. and Canadian parts on average have 63.6% to 69.2% parts content from those countries from the 2019 through 2024 model years, according to <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-15">Cars.com.<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> </p>
<p>Imported vehicles from many luxury brands, specifically German manufacturers as well as Toyota&#8217;s Lexus, feature little U.S.-sourced content. Many have none or 1%, according to the federal data.</p>
<p>The U.S./Canada percentages, under the American Automobile Labeling Act of 1992, are calculated on a &#8220;carline&#8221; basis rather than for each individual vehicle and may be rounded to the nearest 5%. They are calculated by automakers and reported to the government.</p>
<p>However, a high threshold of North American parts doesn&#8217;t mean the vehicles are produced in the U.S. The 2024 Toyota RAV4, for example, was reported to have 70% U.S./Canadian parts and is built in Canada.</p>
<p>&#8220;You could have a vehicle, theoretically, that is made in the U.S., but only has 1% parts, content,&#8221; said Patrick Masterson, lead researcher for Cars.com&#8217;s &#8220;American-Made Index.&#8221; </p>
<p>Cars.com&#8217;s annual index of the top U.S. vehicles takes vehicle assembly, parts and other factors into account. No vehicles from Ford or <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-18">General Motors<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> made the top 10, while two Teslas, two Hondas and a Volkswagen took the top five spots.</p>
<p>The study ranks 100 vehicles judged through the same five criteria it&#8217;s used since the 2020 edition: assembly location, parts content, engine origin, transmission origin and U.S. manufacturing workforce. More than 400 vehicles of model-year 2024 vintage were analyzed to qualify the 100 vehicles on the list.</p>
<p>The white 2025 Ford Expedition that recently rolled off the assembly line in Kentucky is expected to score higher than the prior model year, which ranked 78th, because of an increase in domestic content.</p>
<p>Masterson said there&#8217;s been increased interest and popularity for the &#8220;American-Made Index&#8221; this year amid Trump&#8217;s tariff policies and nationalism.</p>
<p>&#8220;Traffic on the &#8216;American-Made Index&#8217; this year is way, way up. &#8230; People are concerned about this, perhaps more than ever,&#8221; Masterson said, later adding &#8220;it would be extremely difficult to make a 100% U.S.-made [vehicle].&#8221;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/how-much-a-100-made-in-the-usa-vehicle-might-cost/">How much a 100% &#8216;Made in the USA&#8217; vehicle might cost</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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		<title>Apple says Epic Games contempt ruling could cost &#8216;substantial sums&#8217;</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/apple-says-epic-games-contempt-ruling-could-cost-substantial-sums/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 08 May 2025 05:14:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>An Apple store in Walnut Creek, California, U.S., on April 30, 2025. Paul Morris &#124; Bloomberg &#124; Getty Images Apple is asking a court to pause a recent decision in its case against Epic Games and allow the iPhone maker to once again charge a commission on in-app transactions that link out for payment. Last [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/apple-says-epic-games-contempt-ruling-could-cost-substantial-sums/">Apple says Epic Games contempt ruling could cost &#8216;substantial sums&#8217;</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="HighlightShare-hidden" style="top:0;left:0"/></p>
<p>An Apple store in Walnut Creek, California, U.S., on April 30, 2025.</p>
<p>Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images</p>
<p><span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-1">Apple<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> is asking a court to pause a recent decision in its case against Epic Games and allow the iPhone maker to once again charge a commission on in-app transactions that link out for payment.</p>
<p>Last month, U.S. District Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers in Oakland found that Apple had violated her original court order from the Epic trial, originally decided in 2021, that forced Apple to make limited changes to its linking out policy under California law.</p>
<p>Judge Rogers&#8217; new ruling is more expansive, ordering Apple to immediately stop imposing its commissions on purchases made for iPhone apps through web links inside its apps, among other changes.</p>
<p>Apple is now looking to get a stay on that order, as well as another one from the case that prevents it from restricting app developers from choosing the language or placement of those links, until the entire decision can be appealed. Apple says that required changes in their current form will cost the company &#8220;substantial sums.&#8221; </p>
<p>&#8220;This is the latest chapter in Epic&#8217;s largely unsuccessful effort to use competition law to change how Apple runs the App Store,&#8221; Apple said in the emergency motion for a stay. The motion cites a previous order in the case that found that new linking policies would cost Apple &#8220;hundreds of millions to billions&#8221; of dollars annually.</p>
<p>If Apple succeeds, it will allow the company to roll back changes that have already started to shift the economics of app development. Developers including <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-4">Amazon<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> and <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-5">Spotify<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> have been able to update their apps to avoid Apple&#8217;s commissions and direct customers to their own website for payment.</p>
<p>Prior to the ruling, Amazon&#8217;s Kindle app told users they could not purchase a book in the iPhone app. After a recent update, the app now shows an orange &#8220;Get Book&#8221; button that links to Amazon&#8217;s website.</p>
<p>Epic also plans to introduce new software to allow app and game developers to easily link to their websites to take payments.  </p>
<p>&#8220;This forces Apple to compete,&#8221; Epic Games CEO Tim Sweeney said shortly after last month&#8217;s decision. &#8220;This is what we wanted all along.&#8221;</p>
<p>Apple said in the filing that &#8220;non-party developers are already seizing upon the Order to reduce consumer choice (and damage Apple&#8217;s business) by, among other things, impeding the use of&#8221; in-app purchases.</p>
<p>Rogers made a criminal referral in the case, saying that Apple misled the court and that a company vice president &#8220;outright lied&#8221; about when and why Apple decided to charge 27% for external payments. The real decision, the judge said, took place in meetings involving Apple CEO Tim Cook.</p>
<p>Wednesday&#8217;s filing from Apple doesn&#8217;t address Rogers&#8217; accusations that the company misled the judge, but it does argue that the ruling was punitive. Apple&#8217;s lawyers also claimed that civil contempt sanctions can only coerce compliance with an existing order, not punish non-compliance.</p>
<p>Apple said earlier this week in a court filing it would appeal the contempt ruling. </p>
<p>&#8220;We&#8217;ve complied with the court&#8217;s order and we&#8217;re going to appeal,&#8221; Cook told investors on the company&#8217;s quarterly earnings call last week.</p>
<p><strong>WATCH:</strong> Apple says it strongly disagrees with Epic Games decision</p>
<p><span class="InlineVideo-videoButton"/><span/></p>
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		<title>Auto tariffs expected to cut sales by millions, cost $100 billion</title>
		<link>https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/auto-tariffs-expected-to-cut-sales-by-millions-cost-100-billion/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2025 22:11:24 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/?p=6402</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>Autoworkers at Nissan&#8217;s Smyrna Vehicle Assembly Plant in Tennessee, June 6, 2022. The plant employs more than 7,000 people and produces a variety of vehicles, including the Leaf EV and Rogue crossover. Michael Wayland / CNBC DETROIT — As President Donald Trump&#8217;s 25% tariffs on imported vehicles remain in effect despite a pullback this week [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/auto-tariffs-expected-to-cut-sales-by-millions-cost-100-billion/">Auto tariffs expected to cut sales by millions, cost $100 billion</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="HighlightShare-hidden" style="top:0;left:0"/></p>
<p>Autoworkers at Nissan&#8217;s Smyrna Vehicle Assembly Plant in Tennessee, June 6, 2022. The plant employs more than 7,000 people and produces a variety of vehicles, including the Leaf EV and Rogue crossover.</p>
<p>Michael Wayland / CNBC</p>
<p>DETROIT — As President Donald Trump&#8217;s 25% tariffs on imported vehicles remain in effect despite a pullback this week on other country-based levies, analysts are expecting massive global implications for the automotive industry due to the policies.</p>
<p>They&#8217;re expecting to see a drop in vehicle sales in the millions, higher new and used vehicle prices, and increased costs of more than $100 billion for the industry, according to research reports from Wall Street and automotive analysts.</p>
<p>&#8220;What we&#8217;re seeing now is a structural shift, driven by policy, that&#8217;s likely to be long-lasting,&#8221; Felix Stellmaszek, Boston Consulting Group&#8217;s global lead of automotive and mobility, told CNBC. &#8220;This may well be the most consequential year for the auto industry in history – not just because of immediate cost pressures, but because it&#8217;s forcing fundamental change in how and where the industry builds.&#8221;</p>
<p>BCG expects tariffs to add $110 billion to $160 billion on an annual run rate basis in costs to the industry, which could impact 20% of U.S. new-vehicle market revenues, increasing production costs for both U.S. and non-U.S. manufacturers.</p>
<p>The Center for Automotive Research, a Michigan-based nonprofit think tank, believes costs for automakers in the U.S. alone will increase by $107.7 billion. That includes $41.9 billion for Detroit automakers <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-4">General Motors<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span>, <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-5">Ford Motor<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> and Chrysler parent <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-6">Stellantis<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span>.</p>
<p>Both analyses take into account the 25% tariffs on imported vehicles implemented by Trump on April 3 as well as forthcoming levies of the same amount on automotive parts that are set to begin by May 3.</p>
<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon</p>
<p><iframe title="Auto stocks" src="https://www.cnbc.com/appchart?symbol=GM&#038;range=YTD&#038;comp=F%2CSTLA%2CTSLA&#038;type=line&#038;embedded=true&#038;$DEVICE$=undefined" height="460" scrolling="no" style="border:0;width:100%"></iframe></p>
<p>Auto stocks</p>
<p>Automakers and suppliers may be able to bear some of the cost increases, but they&#8217;re also expected to pass them along to U.S. consumers, which could in turn lower sales, according to analysts.</p>
<p>&#8220;We believe the tariffs as proposed will raise the cost of both importing and manufacturing vehicles in the US by at least a low to mid single digit thousand dollar level on average, and we believe it will be hard for the auto industry to fully pass this on, especially with softening consumer demand more generally,&#8221; Goldman Sachs analyst Mark Delaney said in a Thursday investor note.</p>
<p>Goldman Sachs assumes new vehicle net prices in the U.S. will rise by roughly $2,000 to $4,000 over the next six- to 12-month timeframe to better reflect tariff costs.</p>
<p>Automakers have responded to the tariffs in a variety of ways. Manufacturers that are mostly domestic, such as Ford and Stellantis, have announced temporary deals for employee pricing, while others, such as British carmaker Jaguar Land Rover, have ceased U.S. shipments. Hyundai Motor also has said it would not raise prices for at least two months to ease consumer concerns.</p>
<p>Consumer sentiment grew even worse than anticipated in April as the expected inflation level hit its highest since 1981, a closely watched University of Michigan survey showed Friday.</p>
<p>Sam Abuelsamid, vice president of insights at auto advisory firm Telemetry, expects many automakers have at least a roughly two-month supply of non-tariff impacted vehicles that they will be able to sell down before needing to increase prices due to tariffs.</p>
<p>Telemetry expects the higher costs for production, parts and other factors to result in upward of 2 million fewer vehicles sold annually in the U.S. and Canada, which will have ripple effects on the broader economy.</p>
<p>&#8220;A couple million-unit reduction in sales will have a broad impact economically,&#8221; Abuelsamid said. &#8220;That&#8217;s driven by higher prices, not just for vehicles, but across the board … which is going to limit people&#8217;s&#8217; spending power.&#8221;</p>
<p>Affordability of new and used vehicles has been a problem for several years. On average, Cox Automotive reports new vehicles cost nearly $50,000. That figure doesn&#8217;t include the cost of financing such a vehicle, which has risen significantly in recent years in an attempt to combat inflation.</p>
<p>Auto loan rates remain near decades-high levels of more than 9.64% for a new vehicle and nearly 15% for a used car or truck, according to Cox.</p>
<p>&#8220;We expect to see declining discounting and then accelerated price increases as the tariffs are passed through and supply tightens, leading to price increases on all types of most new vehicles,&#8221; Cox Automotive Chief Economist Jonathan Smoke said during a virtual event Monday. &#8220;Over the longer term, we expect production and sales to fall, newly used prices to increase, and some models to be eliminated.&#8221;</p>
<p>Expected price increases vary based on vehicle, but Cox estimates a $6,000 increase to the cost of imported vehicles due to the 25% tariff on non-U.S. assembled vehicles, as well as a $3,600 increase to vehicles assembled in the U.S. due to upcoming 25% tariffs on automotive parts. Those are in addition to $300 to $500 increases as a result of previously announced tariffs on steel and aluminum.</p>
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		<title>Trump&#8217;s tariffs to cost US automakers $108B; Ford, GM, Stellantis hit hard</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2025 08:02:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/?p=6390</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>President Trump’s stiff tariffs on foreign auto imports will cost US carmakers nearly $108 billion — with Detroit’s Big Three getting slammed the hardest despite having plants in the states, according to a study. The 25% tax on foreign auto imports and parts, which went into effect April 3, is expected to impact 17.7 million [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/trumps-tariffs-to-cost-us-automakers-108b-ford-gm-stellantis-hit-hard/">Trump&#8217;s tariffs to cost US automakers $108B; Ford, GM, Stellantis hit hard</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>President Trump’s stiff tariffs on foreign auto imports will cost US carmakers nearly $108 billion — with Detroit’s Big Three getting slammed the hardest despite having plants in the states, according to a study.</p>
<p>The 25% tax on foreign auto imports and parts, which went into effect April 3, is expected to impact 17.7 million vehicles, tacking on an estimated $107.7 billion in cost, the Center for Automotive Research, based in Ann Arbor, Mich., reported.</p>
<p>The Trump administration has argued the taxes are meant to woo manufacturing back to the US, since import taxes will not affect made-in-the-USA vehicles.</p>
<p>President Trump last week imposed a 25% tariff on vehicle and auto part imports. <span class="credit">AP</span></p>
<p>However, the levies will hit US automakers since many of their models are are built with parts sourced from other countries.</p>
<p>The roughly 500 auto lines had at least 10% of their components imported from outside the US and Canada, according to the NHTSA’s 2025 dataset. </p>
<p>The majority of automakers recorded much higher shares, around 40%.</p>
<p>The Big Three – Ford Motor, General Motors and Stellantis, which owns brands like Jeep and Ram – will bear the much of the brunt, despite their substantial US manufacturing. </p>
<p>The taxes are expected to cost them about $41.7 billion, according to the study, which was released this week.</p>
<p>“This in-depth study by the Center for Automotive Research demonstrates the significant cost a 25% tariff will have on the automotive industry,” Gov. Matt Blunt, president of the American Automotive Policy Council, told The Post in a statement.</p>
<p>“American Automakers Ford, GM, and Stellantis intend to maintain our ongoing dialogue with the administration to achieve our shared goal of increased U.S. automotive production,” he added.</p>
<p>Analysts have warned that the automakers will likely pass at least some of the tariff costs to the consumer.</p>
<p>Ford, General Motors and Stellantis, will likely face much higher costs due to the tariffs, according to the study. <span class="credit">AFP via Getty Images</span></p>
<p>Those added costs will “likely be distributed across the broader automotive ecosystem,” meaning all aspects of auto supply chains will grow more expensive, according to the research firm.</p>
<p>The research firm warned that its estimate is likely on the low side due to cross-border trade activity, since auto production channels are especially complex. </p>
<p>For example, a US automaker that imports parts from China and then sends them to Mexico for manufacturing would have to pay multiple fees at each border stop.</p>
<p>Some automakers have already taken steps to mitigate the impact of the tariffs. </p>
<p>Stellantis has announced it’s temporarily laying off workers and pausing production at assembly plants in Mexico and Canada. <span class="credit">Getty Images</span></p>
<p>General Motors is planning to ramp up production at its Indiana plant, according to a Reuters report.</p>
<p>But other automakers could feel pressure to shutter factories or order layoffs, as the added costs could tank their margins without passing along higher price tags to customers.</p>
<p>Stellantis has announced it’s temporarily laying off 900 workers across five US facilities, and pausing production at assembly plants in Mexico and Canada.</p>
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		<title>Tariffs drive up the cost of airplanes, the United States&#8217; star export</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Apr 2025 23:46:47 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[<p>The production line for the Boeing P-8 Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft is pictured at Boeing&#8217;s 737 factory in Renton, Washington, November 18, 2021. Jason Redmond &#124; Reuters President Donald Trump&#8217;s sweeping tariffs are set to drive up the cost of Boeing and Airbus planes, GE Aerospace engines, and hundreds of other aerospace and defense products, [&#8230;]</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com/tariffs-drive-up-the-cost-of-airplanes-the-united-states-star-export/">Tariffs drive up the cost of airplanes, the United States&#8217; star export</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="https://www.ourstoryinsight.com">Our Story Insight</a>.</p>
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<p>The production line for the Boeing P-8 Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft is pictured at Boeing&#8217;s 737 factory in Renton, Washington, November 18, 2021.</p>
<p>Jason Redmond | Reuters</p>
<p>President Donald Trump&#8217;s sweeping tariffs are set to drive up the cost of <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-3">Boeing<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> and Airbus planes, <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-4">GE Aerospace<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> engines, and hundreds of other aerospace and defense products, threatening an industry that helps soften the U.S. trade deficit by more than $100 billion a year.</p>
<p>&#8220;It certainly makes things more expensive for the industry,&#8221; Dak Hardwick, vice president of international affairs at the Aerospace Industries Association, which represents Boeing, GE Aerospace, Airbus and dozens of other aerospace and defense companies, said of the tariffs.</p>
<p>The industry group said it is asking the Trump administration to uphold provisions in a nearly half-century old trade agreement that allows for duty-free trade of civilian aircraft and imports tied to defense and national security.</p>
<p>&#8220;The line is certainly long&#8221; for requests to the White House, Hardwick said.</p>
<h2 class="RelatedContent-header">Read more CNBC airline news</h2>
<p>Trump&#8217;s executive order announcing the tariffs said trade and economic policies around the world have exacerbated a decline in overall U.S. manufacturing.</p>
<p>Regarding innovation in the defense sector, the order stated, &#8220;If the United States wishes to maintain an effective security umbrella to defend its citizens and homeland, as well as for its allies and partners, it needs to have a large upstream manufacturing and goods-producing ecosystem to manufacture these products without undue reliance on imports for key inputs.&#8221;</p>
<p>The aerospace industry has long been a top exporter for the United States. At Boeing alone, more than two-thirds of its airplane orders over the past decade came from customers outside of the United States, according to company data.</p>
<p>&#8220;Free trade is very important to us,&#8221; Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg said at a Senate hearing Wednesday. &#8220;We really are the ideal kind of an export company where we&#8217;re outselling internationally. It&#8217;s creating U.S. jobs, long-term high value U.S. jobs. So it&#8217;s important that we continue to have access to that market and that we don&#8217;t get in a situation where certain markets become closed to us.&#8221;</p>
<p>President and CEO of Boeing Kelly Ortberg testifies before the Senate Commerce, Science, and Transportation Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on April 02, 2025 in Washington, DC. </p>
<p>Win Mcnamee | Getty Images News | Getty Images</p>
<p>The industry has mostly bought and sold planes and parts without having to pay tariffs under a 45-year-old trade agreement, which would be derailed by Trump&#8217;s new tariffs. The president this week introduced levies of 10% on countries around the world, with higher duties on certain countries and regions, some of which like Europe, are key to the aerospace industry.</p>
<p>Imported steel and aluminum, other key materials in airplanes, are subject to separate sector-level duties that Trump announced earlier this year.</p>
<p>&#8220;President Trump has been clear: if you make your product in America, you won&#8217;t have to worry about tariffs,&#8221; White House spokesman Kush Desai said in an email.</p>
<p>Tariffs are paid by the importer, and the increased prices due to the levies would either have to be absorbed by the airplane or engine maker, by the still-fragile supply chain or by the end consumer, said Hardwick.</p>
<p>Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu said in a note Thursday that a price jump on &#8220;any product within 12 months is eaten by the [original equipment manufacturer], assuming new inventory buy. Outside that time period, ultimately the buyer and hence consumer.&#8221;</p>
<p>Stock Chart IconStock chart icon</p>
<p><iframe title="Boeing and the S&#038;P 500" src="https://www.cnbc.com/appchart?symbol=BA&#038;range=YTD&#038;comp=.SPX&#038;type=mountain&#038;embedded=true&#038;$DEVICE$=undefined" height="460" scrolling="no" style="border:0;width:100%"></iframe></p>
<p>Boeing and the S&#038;P 500</p>
<p>Prices for planes are negotiated in advance, and airlines have to often wait years for aircraft, so material costs can shift dramatically over that period.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is not where you put money down for an automobile and it ends up in your driveway&#8221; in three months, Hardwick said.</p>
<p>Shares of Boeing, engine maker GE and airlines tumbled again Friday, adding to the market rout after Trump announced the tariffs Wednesday.</p>
<p>&#8220;This is the one manufacturing sector where America has, has enjoyed a tremendous trade surplus,&#8221; said Richard Aboulafia, managing director at AeroDynamic Advisory. &#8220;So the idea of fighting a trade war for this industry, it&#8217;s living in a crystal palace hurling giant boulders.&#8221;</p>
<h2 class="ArticleBody-subtitle">Global supply chain</h2>
<p>The tariffs are also a new strain on the aerospace industry, which still has a fragile supply chain in the wake of Covid, with some parts in short supply. Major supplies have tried to quickly hire workers and ramp up production during a post-pandemic travel boom.</p>
<p>But airplane makers still haven&#8217;t kept up with demand.</p>
<p>An Airbus SE A321 plane fuselage is lifted with a crane at the company&#8217;s final assembly line facility in Mobile, Alabama</p>
<p>Luke Sharrett | Bloomberg | Getty Images</p>
<p>Even a &#8220;Made in the USA&#8221; label for an airplane is a misnomer.</p>
<p>For example, the supply chain for a Boeing 787 Dreamliner, which is assembled in South Carolina, spans from Japan to Italy.</p>
<p>Its European rival, Airbus, has a Mobile, Alabama, factory but is still on the hook for tariffs for imported parts, from wings to fuselages.</p>
<p>&#8220;It doesn&#8217;t matter who owns the company. If an item crosses the border, it will have to be paid by importer of record,&#8221; Hardwick said.</p>
<p>Airbus has expanded the factory since the first Alabama-assembled Airbus A321, an aircraft for <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-11">JetBlue Airways<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span> named &#8220;BluesMobile,&#8221; rolled out nine years ago. Its bet on increasing U.S. output of its jets, which are still largely made in Europe, also includes assembly of smaller A220s in Alabama, for customers that include JetBlue and <span class="QuoteInBody-quoteNameContainer" data-test="QuoteInBody" id="RegularArticle-QuoteInBody-12">Delta Air Lines<span class="QuoteInBody-inlineButton"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-watchlistContainer" id="-WatchlistDropdown" data-analytics-id="-WatchlistDropdown"><span class="AddToWatchlistButton-addWatchListFromTag"/></span></span></span>.</p>
<p>American Airlines workers perform maintenance on CFM-56 engine in Tulsa, Oklahoma</p>
<p>Erin Black | CNBC</p>
<p>Meanwhile, continuing along the supply chain, General Electric and France&#8217;s Safran have a joint venture in which they make top-selling CFM engines, which power both Boeing and Airbus narrow-body jets. Each company manufactures certain portions of engines, which are sent to factories in Ohio, Indiana and North Carolina for GE and outside of Paris for Safran.</p>
<p>Thousands of imported replacement parts for engines and other aircraft parts, many of which come from abroad, could also become more expensive.</p>
<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s no such thing as a national jet,&#8221; Aboulafia said.</p>
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